China claims the country could reach herd immunity by the end of 2021

China’s top respiratory disease expert Zhong Nanshan on Friday said the country could reach herd immunity against Covid-19 by the end of the year if more than 80 per cent of the population is fully vaccinated.

He said while Covid-19 vaccines, including Chinese ones, were less effective six months after the first dose, herd immunity was still achievable with booster shots. “[At this stage] we believe a booster shot could strengthen the efficacy of the vaccines and we estimate more than 80 per cent of the population will be vaccinated by the end of this year, therefore we hope that we will be able to achieve herd immunity [by then],” Zhong told a China-Arab states conference in the Ningxia Hui region via video link.

That forecast was based on data showing that Chinese vaccines had an average efficacy of around 70 per cent, he said. Zhong also cited a follow-up study on Sinovac’s early stage clinical trials that found a twentyfold increase in neutralising antibody levels – indicating immune response – in people who were given a third dose of the Sinovac jab, nine months after their second. In elderly people it went up 30 times.

A study published last month, co-led by Sinovac, found that a third dose of the vaccine given six or more months after the second jab could boost the concentration of antibodies by three to five times. Antibody levels were found to have declined substantially six months after two doses were given, but the study concluded that a third dose resulted in a “strong boost in immune response.”

The research has not been peer-reviewed and was posted on preprint server China have yet to confirm their stance on booster shots. Most people inoculated in China have received the inactivated vaccines made by Sinovac and Sinopharm. The medical products regulator last week approved clinical trials for the combined use of the Sinovac jab and a DNA vaccine developed by US biotech firm Inovio.



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Paul, 37, is from Scotland in the UK, but currently lives and works in Bangkok. Paul has worked in different industries such as telemarketing, retail, hospitality, farming, insurance, and teaching, where he works now. He teaches at an all-girls High School in Bangkok. “It’s a lot of work, but I love my job.” Paul has an active interest in politics. His reason for writing for FBA is to offer people the facts and allow them to make up their own minds. Whilst he believes opinion columns have their place, it is also important that people can have accurate news with no bias.

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