REPORT: Crime experts say summer of 2021 could be worse than 2020

Police should prepare for a potentially more violent summer than last year as crime trends show the bloodshed in some parts of the country, such as New York City, picked up earlier than is typically expected, analysts and experts tell Fox News.

“It’s not getting any better,” Joseph Giacalone, an adjunct professor with the John Jay College of Criminal Justice, told Fox News. “Let’s put it this way: New York City is already ahead of last year’s pace, but last year, the homicides and shootings really started spiking at the end of May and into June. So that will be the real tale of the tape, so to speak, to see what’s happening over there,” Giacalone continued. “So, if you look at New York, Chicago, St. Louis, Baltimore, you name the big cities and they’re having huge problems,” Giacalone added. “We have … the pandemic ending. People want to get out and do things again,” he said. “And it’s just a cocktail for disaster to some.”

According to the Gun Violence Archive, 369 people were shot in the past 72 hours as of Friday afternoon. As of Sunday, the NYPD reported a 350% increase in murders for the week prior compared to the same time year-over-year, statistics show. Shootings were up 166% in April compared to April 2020, police previously said. In Los Angeles, murders year-to-date as of May 8 were up 30.9% from the same time last year, while reports of shots fired incidents increased by 58% and the number of shooting victims was up 67.2%, Los Angeles Police Department statistics show. When asked his opinion on how trends so far this year might reflect summer 2021 crime trends, Giacalone said this summer is “going to be worse than last year, for sure. The numbers are already through the roof.” Speaking on the Big Apple, he said: “We’re having numbers coming up to the warm weather where the city is up 200% in shootings and shooting victims every week.”





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