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CDC predicts another COVID-19 surge in May amid national lows in cases, hospitalizations, and deaths

As one-third of Americans have been fully vaccinated, COVID cases, hospitalizations, and deaths have been down across the country. The CDC, however, predicts another surge coming in the month of May due to new variants.

One of the main variants cited in the new CDC report is the B.1.1.7 variant, or the UK variant which was identified late last year. CDC researchers used a statistical modeling scenario to estimate how the new variant could affect the US population. The model found the UK variant to be at least 50 percent more transmissible than the original strain. The best-case scenario for the model occurred with cases declining during the month of July 2021 amid high vaccination rates. “High vaccination coverage and compliance with [nonpharmaceutical interventions] are essential to control COVID-19 and prevent surges in hospitalizations and deaths in the coming months,” the report discussion reads.

The Biden administration is currently working towards a goal to vaccinate 70 percent of the adult population by July 4th. Vaccination rates have currently been slowing down nationwide. The co-director of the Center for Vaccine Development at Texas Children’s Hospital Peter Hotez said that the US needs to see 75 to 80 percent of Americans vaccinated to return to pre pandemic normalcy.

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ARTICLE: DUSTIN RODGERS

POLITICS EDITOR: CARSON CHOATE

PHOTO CREDITS: SARASOTA MAGAZINE

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